Market Insights

A transformative shift occurred as a sharp divergence between a generational boom in artificial intelligence and a deep energy crisis began to resolve with a historic diplomatic peace deal. While equity valuations extended to break previous records in the United States and in tech-heavy Asian markets, the global economy is now emerging from the stress of the Strait of Hormuz blockade, which had removed millions of oil barrels from global and daily supplies.

Geopolitical tensions between the United States and Iran escalated sharply in April, triggering one of the largest global energy supply shocks in modern history. The disruption removed millions of barrels of oil from daily supply, tightening global markets almost immediately.

The war in Iran has heightened uncertainty in the global economy, with hostilities materially disrupting global trade, energy flows, and capital allocations. These effects have been particularly evident in commodity markets. Oil prices surged sharply, while gold prices declined, an unusual relationship that may reflect sovereign nations liquidating gold to finance rising energy costs.